Sertãozinho vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
XVD
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
JUV
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
4 - 0
AGU
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
MAT
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
6 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ATI
0 - 2
MAT
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |