Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
PIN
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
PAM
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 1
LOU
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 0
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
MAF
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
BEN
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BEN
4 - 1
MAN
83%
11%
5%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |