Sertanense vs O Grandolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
ADN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 2
AMO
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
O Grandolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 3
OGR
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |