Sertanense vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 1
SER
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
RDA
0 - 1
SER
37%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SER
3 - 1
ANA
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 2
RDA
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 0
LUS
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 3
LUS
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |