Serre Alburni vs Nuvla San Felice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serre Alburni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
ACS
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 4
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LIC
3 - 2
SER
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
NUO
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nuvla San Felice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUV
2 - 1
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACR
0 - 1
NUV
46%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NUV
0 - 2
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NUV
2 - 0
VAL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NUV
5 - 0
CIT
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |