Serra Talhada vs Ypiranga PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 4
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 5
SER
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
OFC
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
OFC
2 - 2
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 0
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 3
YPI
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
YPI
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 3
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |