Serra Macaense vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 1
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 2
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
PER
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
0 - 1
PER
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 1
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
SFC
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
CMA
1 - 1
PER
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
PER
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |