Serra Macaense vs Linhares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
SER
0 - 3
SAN
3%
14%
84%
|
29 | 81 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Linhares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
PIN
1 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 2
JAG
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LIN
6 - 2
CFC
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |