Serra Macaense vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 0
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
SER
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
AUD
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CER
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
GOY
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
QUI
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
RBC
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
TIG
3 - 0
BAR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
AFC
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |