Serra Macaense vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 6
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
PAD
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 1
SER
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRI
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |