Serpa vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
12º
6º
51
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 2
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
FAB
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 4
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
ALE
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
MOU
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 0
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
LAG
73%
16%
12%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LOU
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |