Serle vs Gavardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+580%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PRE
3 - 1
SER
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SER
1 - 3
PIA
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 2
SER
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
ORA
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OME
1 - 0
SER
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gavardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
5 - 0
LOD
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAV
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 2
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GAV
2 - 3
PRE
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
GAV
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |