Sergipe vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
SER
1 - 3
POR
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
SER
0 - 0
SAN
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
SER
2 - 0
ATP
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
RIO
5 - 0
SER
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
SER
0 - 0
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
NAU
3 - 1
ATM
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
ARN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
NAU
3 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
NAU
0 - 0
OLA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |