Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
13%
22%
66%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SER
0 - 1
FFC
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
ADC
1 - 2
SER
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LAG
0 - 1
ITA
27%
27%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CON
4 - 0
LAG
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LAG
1 - 1
DOR
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ADB
0 - 5
LAG
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LAG
4 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |