Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OSE
0 - 1
SER
10%
21%
69%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
FFC
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 1
SER
14%
20%
67%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
FFC
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
LAG
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |