Sergipe vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 0
BOC
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DOR
44%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 0
EST
33%
23%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
DOR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |