Seregno vs Villa Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
BOR
1 - 2
SER
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 2
SER
74%
16%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
VAR
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +4 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
SER
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
SCA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DES
1 - 4
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
OGG
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |