Sered vs Podkonice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
12º
3º
35
7º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NVN
2 - 6
SER
5%
19%
76%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
3 - 0
VEL
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
FCM
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
ZVO
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 27 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Podkonice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
POD
1 - 0
BLV
65%
19%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
POD
3 - 0
SLO
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POD
0 - 3
FKD
4%
8%
88%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 4
POD
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ZVO
1 - 2
POD
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |