Septemvri Tervel vs Lokomotiv Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
8º
3º
11
7º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Tervel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
0 - 2
SEP
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 4
ARK
11%
22%
67%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
SEP
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 0
KUB
92%
7%
2%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 0
DOR
83%
13%
5%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 2
CHE
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 3
FCF
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UST
2 - 1
LOR
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKR
7 - 2
LOR
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 6
BIS
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -2 |