Septemvri Tervel vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+123%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
2º
2º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Tervel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 0
FSV
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEP
6%
20%
74%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 0
DOR
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
SEP
11%
23%
66%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
UST
85%
12%
4%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 0
SHU
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 4
LUD
8%
14%
77%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 1
CMV
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
6 - 0
SHU
86%
11%
4%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
1 - 3
FKR
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |