Septemvri Sofia vs Perun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
SEP
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 3
STR
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OBO
4 - 0
SEP
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 2
OFK
14%
27%
60%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MES
1 - 1
SEP
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
PEK
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PEK
1 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
PEK
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PEK
1 - 2
OBO
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
OFK
2 - 0
PEK
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |