Septemvri Sofia vs Kostinbrod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEP
0 - 1
SEP
18%
22%
59%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 1
VEL
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 1
FKV
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SLI
0 - 0
SEP
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 1
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kostinbrod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
KOS
1 - 1
FKV
35%
27%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SLI
1 - 0
KOS
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
KOS
2 - 0
BAL
33%
27%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BEP
2 - 0
KOS
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KOS
6 - 0
AVA
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |