Septemvri Sofia vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 0
SEP
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
SEP
1 - 1
DOB
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
SEP
0 - 1
FKH
48%
22%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
BVR
1 - 2
SEP
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
SEP
1 - 0
SVE
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
NES
1 - 0
LPL
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
OFK
2 - 0
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
NES
1 - 4
SPA
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
NES
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
NES
3 - 0
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +2 |