Septemvri Simitli vs Sportist Svoge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 0
SEP
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 0
PIR
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RIL
1 - 0
SEP
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SEP
0 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VIH
2 - 0
SEP
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportist Svoge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
SLI
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GER
2 - 1
SPO
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
FKM
17%
21%
63%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 1
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |