Septemvri Simitli vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 0
VID
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 3
SEP
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 1
SHU
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NEF
2 - 0
SEP
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAK
2 - 2
SVA
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
LYU
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 0
SVA
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
SVA
2 - 2
RAK
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |