FC Sens vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SEN
0 - 0
DRA
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
FEI
2 - 2
SEN
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SEN
2 - 1
AVI
31%
24%
44%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 0
SEN
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SEN
1 - 1
SED
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ARR
1 - 3
NIC
10%
22%
68%
|
38 | 84 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 2
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARR
0 - 2
SED
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
REI
0 - 0
ARR
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 0
VAL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |