Senegal vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SEN
2 - 0
MDG
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GNQ
0 - 1
SEN
12%
24%
64%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 1
SEN
18%
25%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SEN
3 - 0
SDN
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MDG
2 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MLI
3 - 0
SSD
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
MLI
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 1
MLI
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
MLI
0 - 0
BDI
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 3
MLI
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |