Senegal vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
CMR
1 - 0
SEN
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
DZA
1 - 2
SEN
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
13%
22%
66%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 2
SEN
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
CIV
2 - 1
SEN
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ZMB
1 - 0
LBR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 0
TGO
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
COG
3 - 0
LBR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LBR
1 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |