Zambia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZMB
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZMB
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 2
ZMB
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ZMB
3 - 1
UGA
51%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ZMB
2 - 2
CMR
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAM
3 - 1
ZWE
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ZWE
1 - 0
NAM
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
NAM
1 - 0
ZWE
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ZMB
1 - 3
ZWE
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LSO
3 - 4
ZWE
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |