CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda. Final
Global 0-1
Zambia vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZMB
16%
23%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAM
0 - 1
ZMB
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
ZMB
4 - 3
SEN
23%
25%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ZMB
1 - 1
BWA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ZMB
2 - 1
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
ZMB
16%
23%
62%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SEN
9%
20%
72%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ZAF
0 - 0
MOZ
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
MOZ
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |