Zambia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 2
SLE
69%
18%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
ZAM
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
ZAM
19%
24%
58%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ZIM
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
KEN
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
CIV
8%
18%
75%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
COM
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
CTA
1 - 0
CHA
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 2
CHA
24%
25%
52%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |