Zambia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1982 |
LBY
2 - 1
ZAM
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ZAM
3 - 0
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ETH
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1982 |
ZAM
2 - 0
BOT
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1982 |
GHA
3 - 2
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ALG
0 - 0
ETH
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
ALG
1 - 0
ZAM
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |