Zambia vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
24%
60%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GNB
2 - 1
ZAM
6%
12%
83%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
GNB
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
ZAM
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NAM
0 - 0
GNB
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |