WC Qual. S.America . Jor. 11

Venezuela vs Bolivia analysis

Venezuela Bolivia
82 ELO 77
8% Tilt 2.5%
175º General ELO ranking 788º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.6%
Venezuela
22.4%
Draw
20%
Bolivia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
Venezuela
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
Bolivia
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Venezuela
+7%
-8%
Bolivia

ELO progression

Venezuela
Bolivia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venezuela
Venezuela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2016
VEN
Venezuela
0 - 2
Brazil
BRA
8%
16%
77%
82 97 15 0
07 Oct. 2016
URY
Uruguay
3 - 0
Venezuela
VEN
77%
15%
8%
82 91 9 0
07 Sep. 2016
VEN
Venezuela
2 - 2
Argentina
ARG
12%
21%
67%
82 96 14 0
01 Sep. 2016
COL
Colombia
2 - 0
Venezuela
VEN
74%
18%
9%
83 92 9 -1
19 Jun. 2016
ARG
Argentina
4 - 1
Venezuela
VEN
84%
12%
5%
83 96 13 0

Matches

Bolivia
Bolivia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2016
BOL
Bolivia
2 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
24%
25%
51%
78 89 11 0
07 Oct. 2016
BRA
Brazil
5 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
88%
10%
3%
78 97 19 0
07 Sep. 2016
CHL
Chile
3 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
83%
12%
5%
79 92 13 -1
01 Sep. 2016
BOL
Bolivia
0 - 3
Peru
PER
35%
27%
39%
79 87 8 0
15 Jun. 2016
ARG
Argentina
3 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
86%
11%
4%
79 95 16 0
X