Uzbekistan vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
UZB
1 - 0
QAT
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SYR
1 - 0
UZB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
UZB
2 - 2
GEO
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
KOR
2 - 1
UZB
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
UZB
1 - 0
JOR
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
JPN
4 - 0
THA
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
THA
0 - 3
SAU
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
THA
2 - 0
IDN
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
IDN
2 - 1
THA
15%
19%
66%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
THA
4 - 0
MMR
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |