S. America WC Qual. Round 2

Uruguay vs Colombia analysis

Uruguay Colombia
91 ELO 92
8.5% Tilt 2%
64º General ELO ranking 51º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.1%
Uruguay
25.5%
Draw
24.4%
Colombia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
Uruguay
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.4%
Win probability
Colombia
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Uruguay
+1%
+5%
Colombia

ELO progression

Uruguay
Colombia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2015
BOL
Bolivia
0 - 2
Uruguay
URU
21%
24%
55%
91 82 9 0
09 Sep. 2015
CRC
Costa Rica
1 - 0
Uruguay
URU
28%
25%
47%
91 86 5 0
05 Sep. 2015
PAN
Panama
0 - 1
Uruguay
URU
20%
24%
56%
91 84 7 0
25 Jun. 2015
CHI
Chile
1 - 0
Uruguay
URU
46%
23%
31%
91 91 0 0
20 Jun. 2015
URU
Uruguay
1 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
66%
19%
15%
91 87 4 0

Matches

Colombia
Colombia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2015
COL
Colombia
2 - 0
Peru
PER
68%
20%
12%
92 87 5 0
09 Sep. 2015
COL
Colombia
1 - 1
Peru
PER
69%
20%
12%
92 87 5 0
27 Jun. 2015
ARG
Argentina
0 - 0
Colombia
COL
65%
20%
15%
92 95 3 0
21 Jun. 2015
COL
Colombia
0 - 0
Peru
PER
69%
19%
12%
92 86 6 0
18 Jun. 2015
BRA
Brazil
0 - 1
Colombia
COL
75%
17%
9%
92 97 5 0