Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
URY
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
URY
2 - 2
CHL
55%
25%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
PRY
1 - 0
URY
43%
27%
30%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
URY
5 - 0
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ZAF
0 - 0
URY
18%
25%
57%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
67%
21%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
COL
27%
29%
44%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
PRY
54%
26%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | -1 |