Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 2
URY
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
COL
0 - 0
URY
21%
22%
56%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
HTI
0 - 0
URY
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1973 |
URY
1 - 1
ARG
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1973 |
ARG
1 - 1
URY
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
PER
3 - 1
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
COL
0 - 0
URY
21%
22%
56%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
62%
18%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
HTI
2 - 1
COL
66%
17%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |