Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
URY
50%
26%
25%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
IRL
3 - 1
URY
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
URY
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
URY
1 - 4
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 1
URY
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
SGP
0 - 6
ARG
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 48 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
65%
20%
15%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARG
9%
20%
71%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 0
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |