USSR vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 1
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
SUN
10 - 2
FIN
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 3
SUN
20%
27%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 1
GRC
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
0 - 1
GRC
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 2
GRC
67%
19%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
FIN
3 - 0
GRC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
POL
5 - 2
GRC
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |