USSR vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1955 |
SWE
0 - 6
SUN
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 85 | 68 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 90 | 73 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
SUN
7 - 0
SWE
8%
13%
80%
|
15 | 85 | 70 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
15 | 81 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
5 - 5
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
15 | 81 | 66 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1955 |
DEU
2 - 1
IRL
83%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
DEU
1 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
PRT
0 - 3
DEU
36%
22%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1954 |
ENG
3 - 1
DEU
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
DEU
42%
21%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |