Ukraine vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
FIN
67%
21%
12%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UKR
3 - 0
XXK
83%
13%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
2 - 2
UKR
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 1
ISL
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 1
POL
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WLS
1 - 1
SRB
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SRB
3 - 2
AUT
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MDA
0 - 3
SRB
18%
28%
55%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
QAT
3 - 0
SRB
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 2
IRL
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |