Ukraine vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
BHR
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
KAZ
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
UKR
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
UKR
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
MLT
0 - 3
NIR
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 2
USA
10%
21%
70%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 1
ROU
22%
23%
54%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |