Ukraine vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
UKR
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
UKR
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 1
UKR
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
POL
2 - 0
UKR
51%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 0
ESP
12%
20%
69%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FIN
2 - 2
BIH
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
WLS
3 - 1
FIN
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 2
FIN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 2
FIN
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
1 - 0
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |