UEFA Nations League Playoffs Ascenso / Descenso Final

Global 3-4

Ukraine vs Belgium analysis

Ukraine Belgium
88 ELO 92
-16.9% Tilt 4.6%
143º General ELO ranking 49º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.2%
Ukraine
20.6%
Draw
63.2%
Belgium

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
Ukraine
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.2%
Win probability
Belgium
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ukraine
Belgium
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2024
ALB
Albania
1 - 2
Ukraine
UKR
16%
22%
63%
87 78 9 0
16 Nov. 2024
GEO
Georgia
1 - 1
Ukraine
UKR
26%
25%
49%
87 81 6 0
14 Oct. 2024
UKR
Ukraine
1 - 1
Czech Republic
CZE
38%
26%
37%
87 87 0 0
11 Oct. 2024
UKR
Ukraine
1 - 0
Georgia
GEO
54%
24%
22%
87 81 6 0
10 Sep. 2024
CZE
Czech Republic
3 - 2
Ukraine
UKR
44%
24%
31%
87 86 1 0

Matches

Belgium
Belgium
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2024
ISR
Israel
1 - 0
Belgium
BEL
11%
17%
73%
92 80 12 0
14 Nov. 2024
BEL
Belgium
0 - 1
Italy
ITA
56%
22%
22%
92 92 0 0
14 Oct. 2024
BEL
Belgium
1 - 2
France
FRA
48%
24%
28%
93 94 1 -1
10 Oct. 2024
ITA
Italy
2 - 2
Belgium
BEL
39%
25%
37%
93 92 1 0
09 Sep. 2024
FRA
France
2 - 0
Belgium
BEL
52%
23%
26%
93 94 1 0