Turkey vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
TUR
4 - 0
MDA
78%
16%
5%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 2
TUR
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 0
UKR
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 1
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 0
TUR
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
BIH
2 - 2
GRC
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LIE
0 - 2
GRC
10%
20%
70%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
0 - 1
EST
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
1 - 0
FIN
51%
27%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
GRC
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |