AFCON Qualifying Group J Round 3

Tunisia vs Tanzania analysis

Tunisia Tanzania
83 ELO 61
-9.3% Tilt -10.3%
328º General ELO ranking 2381º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
78.8%
Tunisia
15.5%
Draw
5.6%
Tanzania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
Tunisia
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.5%
5.6%
Win probability
Tanzania
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-7%
+18%
Tanzania

ELO progression

Tunisia
Tanzania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2020
NGA
Nigeria
1 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
57%
23%
20%
83 86 3 0
09 Oct. 2020
TUN
Tunisia
3 - 0
Sudan
SDN
78%
16%
6%
83 63 20 0
19 Nov. 2019
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
0 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
12%
23%
66%
83 58 25 0
15 Nov. 2019
TUN
Tunisia
4 - 1
Libya
LBY
66%
23%
12%
83 70 13 0
20 Oct. 2019
LBY
Libya
1 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
26%
27%
47%
83 71 12 0

Matches

Tanzania
Tanzania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2020
TAN
Tanzania
0 - 1
Burundi
BDI
52%
24%
24%
62 57 5 0
19 Nov. 2019
LBY
Libya
2 - 1
Tanzania
TAN
57%
23%
20%
62 70 8 0
15 Nov. 2019
TAN
Tanzania
2 - 1
Equatorial Guinea
EQG
45%
25%
30%
62 59 3 0
18 Oct. 2019
SDN
Sudan
1 - 2
Tanzania
TAN
49%
25%
26%
61 63 2 +1
14 Oct. 2019
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 0
Tanzania
TAN
50%
25%
25%
61 65 4 0