Tunisia vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1975 |
TUN
1 - 1
IRQ
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1975 |
TUN
3 - 0
GUI
57%
20%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
TUN
4 - 3
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
YUG
1 - 0
NIR
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
YUG
3 - 0
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1975 |
NOR
1 - 3
YUG
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 2
YUG
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
YUG
3 - 0
NED
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |