Tunisia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
3 - 0
COD
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
RWA
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 4
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ALG
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSA
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
BEN
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
NGA
0 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |