Caribbean Cup 1st Round Round 2

Suriname vs Curaçao analysis

Suriname Curaçao
53 ELO 44
-1.3% Tilt 0.1%
3125º General ELO ranking 2778º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
68.4%
Suriname
18.6%
Draw
13%
Curaçao

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
Suriname
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13%
Win probability
Curaçao
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Suriname
+17%
-9%
Curaçao

ELO progression

Suriname
Curaçao
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suriname
Suriname
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2010
GUF
French Guiana
1 - 2
Suriname
SUR
26%
24%
50%
52 40 12 0
01 Nov. 2009
SUR
Suriname
1 - 1
Netherlands Antilles
ANT
23%
25%
52%
54 72 18 -2
28 Oct. 2009
SUR
Suriname
0 - 1
Guyana
GUY
43%
24%
33%
54 57 3 0
19 Nov. 2008
SUR
Suriname
1 - 1
Haiti
HTI
19%
22%
59%
54 76 22 0
27 Oct. 2008
CUB
Cuba
6 - 0
Suriname
SUR
80%
14%
6%
54 75 21 0

Matches

Curaçao
Curaçao
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2008
CUW
Curaçao
1 - 2
Barbados
BRB
12%
20%
68%
45 59 14 0
25 Oct. 2008
SUR
Suriname
2 - 1
Curaçao
CUW
73%
17%
11%
46 54 8 -1
23 Oct. 2008
CUB
Cuba
7 - 1
Curaçao
CUW
87%
10%
2%
46 75 29 0
31 Jul. 2008
CUW
Curaçao
2 - 0
Grenada
GRD
20%
22%
58%
43 51 8 +3
27 Jul. 2008
CUW
Curaçao
0 - 0
Aruba
ABW
58%
22%
21%
43 39 4 0